SMUGGLING DUDS UFC 269 GAMBLING GUIDE
Christmas comes early in the form of an epic card live and direct from the T-Mobile arena in Las Vegas! Seasons beatings everyone! Hope you all have a wonderful holiday.
Main Card (BT Sport)
Charles Oliveira (c) vs. Dustin Poirier (Lightweight)
Man this is a tough one to pick. One hand you have Poirier, the toughest, hardest hitting fighter in the lightweight roster. On the other hand you have a fighter who is clearly in the peak of his MMA career and appears to be pretty much untouchable and we can’t keep avoiding the fact Oliveira is a different fighter in every outing these past couple of years. We’ve gone with Poirier in our wild card pick but to be honest, this is to cover our backs! We won’t say toss a coin, what we shall say is sit back and enjoy – and stick some money on both!
Amanda Nunes (c) vs. Julianna Peña (Women's Bantamweight)
We could take up your time trying to talk about how if the stars align how Juliana Pena might actually win this but what is the point. The whole world (including the UFC match makers) know she doesn’t stand a chance. Another easy night at the office for the champ. WINNER: Nunes
Geoff Neal vs. Santiago Ponzinibbio (Welterweight)
We thought about going with the decision here but this match-up has barn burner written all over it. Neal to get embroiled into a stand up war and the ref to step in before the final bell. A decent name on the Argentinian native’s record and the end of the UFC line for Neal.
Kai Kara-France vs. Cody Garbrandt (Flyweight)
The fact that Garbrant has come down in weight and his opponent pretty much walks around at this weight is just one of the reasons Kara-France takes this ease. Don’t be surprised if this hits the deck early on Kara-France’s terms and Garbrant finds himself tapping before the end of the first. The former champ will always have a punchers chance but there are still just too many holes in his game. WINNER: Kara-France
Raulian Paiva vs. Sean O'Malley (Bantamweight)
The O’Malley hype train is only getting derailed if ‘Suga’s’ leg gives way on him again but if he doesn’t produce another highlight reel knockout, he’ll use Paiva as punch bag and take it clear points.
Preliminary Card (BT Sport)
Josh Emmett vs. Dan Ige (Featherweight)
At 36 years of age and a lot of time of due to injuries, Emmett will be the underdog on the night no doubt. The one thing however, that never leaves a fighter is power, and Emmett has some serious dynamite in his hands. A decision win is more likely but we’ll stick our necks out and say he gets the stoppage.
Dominick Cruz vs. Pedro Munhoz (Bantamweight)
If you stuck with us for Cruz’s last outing, you will have been rewarded with some decent money. Loyalty is key here at Smuggling Duds and we are going to stick with the veteran once again. Munhoz has a chance but Cruz’s footwork should prevail.
Augusto Sakai vs. Tai Tuivasa (Heavyweight)
Whilst he still likes to act the fool, there is no denying Tuivasa has stepped his game up in the octagon where he is strictly business. Watch out for some naughty calf kicks from the popular Kiwi followed by some heavy left hooks and a sprinkle of ground and pound.
Jordan Wright vs. Bruno Silva (Middleweight) Another great match up with some potential fireworks. We foresee some high level stand up in the early rounds but someone is getting dropped in the third, and unfortunately for ‘The Beverly Hills Ninja’ it is probably going to be him.
Early Preliminary Card (UFC Fight Pass)
André Muniz vs. Eryk Anders (Middleweight)
Stepping in to replace Dricus Du Plessis, Eryk Anders will now face Andre Muniz, best known for almost taking half of Jacare’s arm home with him back in May. It’s always a risk facing a new opponent at relatively late notice but we are going to go with another submission victory for the Brazilian.
Erin Blanchfield vs.Miranda Maverick (Women's Flyweight)
Erin Blanchfield is no push over but coming off the back end of a very controversial decision loss in her last bout, it will be no surprise if Miranda Maverick does whatever she can to make a statement here. If she can keep it on the feet (which she sill) it should be a clear decision victory.
Alex Perez vs. Matt Schnell (Flyweight)
Schnell has a decent fan following and we can’t help but think his employers had hoped for a bigger impact. Some sites will be picking Schnell and rightly so but we are saying Perez by unanimous decision.
Ryan Hall vs. Darrick Minner (Featherweight)
A naughty heel hook cometh! No disrespect to Minner here, who hasn’t got the worst record, he just hasn’t got the ground game to compete with Hall, who should get this one to the ground relatively early.
Randy Costa vs. Tony Kelley (Bantamweight)
Kelley to come out strong but ‘The Zohan’ to finish stronger. Should be a decent scrap this one for sure but unless he gasses horrendously, Costa should have too much for Tony Kelley.
If this fight was taking place even just a year ago we probably would have went with Gillian Robertson but whilst her performances have been under par recently, her opponent in this one certainly haven’t.
UFC 269 WILD CARD BET: Dustin Poirier to defeat Charles Oliveira via Submission
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