SMUGGLING DUDS UFC 283 GAMBLING GUIDE
Greetings fight fans and a very happy new year! With pleasantries out of the way let’s get stuck into our first gambling guide of 2023.
Main Card (BT Sport)
Glover Teixeira vs. Jamahal Hill (Light heavyweight)
With the much younger Hill taking out his last four opponents in terrifying style, it would be easy to say he’ll do the same against a man who at 43 years of age, has managed to defy the odds and continue to produce the goods in UFC main events. We think most fans would like to see the Glover win on home turf and shock the world once again, but the UFC often swerves the narrative. an interesting bout that is the result of some crazy 2022 shenanigans. As a sucker for the old timers, we are going to go with Teixeira to do what he does best and get this heavy hitter to the floor.
Deiveson Figueiredo (c) vs. Brandon Moreno (ic) (Flyweight)
For the first time in UFC history, we have two elite champions going at it for a monumental fourth time. To be honest, these two could be in their late 40’s and fighting on a Bellator FC card for the hundredth time and we’d still tune in. They are that good. We’ve gone with Moreno purely based on the fact he’s been more active and looked strong in his TKO win over Kai Kara France. Whilst Figueiredo can still hang with the best and deserves to have the belt, something has to give eventually. Hasn’t it? Maybe not.
Gilbert Burns vs. Neil Magny (Welterweight)
So usually, we would have gone straight for Burns but the problem we have is his opponent. We have underestimated Neil Magny too many times, and he’s destroyed our parlays/accas one more than one occasion. The most sensible pick would be Burns via submission, but we are throwing one of our famous curve balls with a Magny decision.
Jessica Andrade vs. Lauren Murphy (Women’s Flyweight)
Andrade to do what everyone expects and be the aggressor, wearing Murphy down with ease and putting her away before the end of the final bell. Easy pick.
Paul Craig vs. Johnny Walker (Light Heavyweight)
Although Walker still hasn’t quite lived up to the hype he entered the UFC with, the stacks are probably in his favour here. With the crowd behind him, we expect the Brazilian native to overwhelm the Scottish grappler in final stages of the bout.
Preliminary Card (BT Sport)
Mauricio Rua vs. Ihor Potiera (Light Heavyeight)
At 41 years old and a lifetime of epic scrapping under his belt, this is officially the last dance foe MMA legend Shogun Rua. Nobody will give him a chance in this one, and rightly so, but we want the Hollywood ending. Come on Shogun, Let’s go!!
Gregory Rodrigues vs. Bruno Ferreira (Middleweight)
Sometimes the UFC match makers produce a bout that on paper, should be incredible but has an outcome that resembles an early PlayStation beat-em up where nobody has a clue what the controls are. This won’t be the case. It seems a little early for Rodriques to be back in the Octagon following his bloody victory in September last year. We aren’t complaining though. This one is going to be CRAZY.
Thiago Moises vs. Melquizael Costa (Lightweight)
Unless he produces the UFC debut of all UFC debuts, we just can’t see how the debut fighter beat the much more experienced Thiago Mosises.
Mounir Lazzez vs Gabriel Bonfim (Welterweight)
Bonfim to do what the other Bonfim can’t and get the win. Expect the Brazilian to wear down his opponent in a relatively boring affair before working in a submission in the final round.
Early Prelims (UFC Fight Pass)
Shamil Abdurakhimov vs. Jailton Almeida (Heavyweight)
Not a chance in hell Abdurakhimov wins this one. Almedia to either force the ref to wave it off or he gets the early sub. We’ll be putting some money on both.
Terrance McKinney vs. Ismael Bonfim (Lightweight)
Not all the home fighters are going to win and Bonfim could be one of them. McKinney will be looking to get back into the top end of the rankings by spoiling the DWCS fighter’s party.
Warlley Alves vs. Nicolas Dalby (Welterweight)
Dalby will come in as the favourite here based on the fact the Danish fighter has looked a little better in his second run in the UFC, but also the fact Alves suffered a devastating knockout in his last outing. Incoming curveball – Alves turns the table and produces his own highlight.
Josiane Nunes vs. Zarah Fairm Dos Santos (Women’s Featherweight)
Whilst it can be argued Dos Santos has had a much tougher start to her UFC career than Nunes, we still aren’t convinced she is UFC calibre. Don’t be surprised if she gets put away early and sent packing via her much more aggressive opponent.
Luan Lacerda vs. Cody Stamann (Bantamweight)
Stamann rescued his UFC career by steam rolling through Eddie Wineland – a fighter who should have retired long before the bout was made. The ‘Spartan’ won’t have it as easy this time round and will have to do his best to not end up with a Brazilian on his back! Tough one to call, Stamann should have enough in the tank to scrape a decision but there is a fair bit of hype surrounding Jose Aldo’s team-mate.
Saimon Oliveira vs. Daniel Marcos (Bantamweight)
A battle of DWCS prospects with the only exception being Oliveira has already experienced his one and only UFC bout which was a loss this time last year. It would be nice to see Oliveira go back to what he does best and locate the submission opportunities, he should be fine if he can weather a first-round storm.
UFC 283 WILD CARD BET: Hill to def Teixeira via KO/TKO in Rnd 1